Power Factor 2010 Update

[cobrafitz]

Time to take another look at the Power Factor:

1. Portland Trailblazers 10.9 (1st 11.5): Walker is back and they could potentially have 3 starters on the All-Star team. I'm not sure if that's ever been accomplished, but they could have 12 year olds at the C and SG spots and still dominate.

2. Cleveland Cavaliers 8.95 (6th 4.15): The question is, is Cleveland really this good? They're relying on great players in Gibson and James, and nice support from Patterson and Telfair. The key to success is low turnonvers.

3. New York Knicks 8.8 (NR 1.35): The Knicks were victims to a tough schedule early-on and some roster snafus. With those issues behind them, they've been surging behind improvement from nearly every position over last year. Howard is making a case for MVP.

4. Golden State Warriors 6.95 (8th 2.9): The Warriors are flying all over the court. They're forcing turnovers and scoring the most pts in the league. Should be an interesting post season in the West with so many dynamic teams competing for the championship.

5. Seattle Supersonics 6.65 (2nd 9.55): They've struggled some of late, but still have a great team amid fierce competition from 4-5 teams in their division. Despite their best efforts, I'm not sure they'll be able to go deep into the playoffs without an improvement at PF.

6. Charlotte Bobcats 4.5 (9th 2.8): The Bobcats are slowly moving up the charts, but they're only 4.5 games out of third in the playoff push, so I still expect them to be there at the end.

7. Milwaukee Bucks 4.0 (10th 2.8): The Bucks are still hanging around, but to keep doing so they'll need to find out how they're going to replace CV. DaJuan Summers is not the answer.

8. Sacramento Kings 3.8 (14th 1.75): The Kings are making up some ground after a rough start. I think the lack of talent at PG is going to keep them from going deep in the playoffs. BD is just too old to matchup against the other PG guards in the division.

9. Detroit Pistons 3.55 (4th 5.55): The record is still there, but I think this shows there are some chinks in the armor. They will struggle to defend at the guard positions and despite having players who can rebound, they are not outrebounding their opponents.

10. New Jersey Nets 3.15 (3rd 6): Despite falling some in the Power Factor, the Nets have been making a run of late. They're getting great play from Arenas, but if he has foul trouble or is off his game, this team doesn't have much to rely on.

11. Los Angeles Lakers 2.15 (8th 4.85)
12. Minnesota Timberwolves 1.4 (7th 3.85)
13. Atlanta Hawks 1.35 (13th 1.85)
14. Houston Rockets 1.35 (11th 2.35)
15. Miami Heat 1.15 (15th 1.7)

[nets]

Without Arenas this team is fairly sucky which they showed last year but if he is just a bit off his game then I am not sure I agree.

Frye last year was a legit 20+ points guy a game and this year he is scoring 18 which is probably the most of any guy that is not slated to be a 1,2 or 3 scoring option so I am positive that he can score. Kelenna and Holiday can easily explode on any night and they do so I am not dead withot Arenas but I probably can't win a series without him.

[Sonics GM]

Im surprised im so low.

[cobrafitz]

Nets: I agree, you have some nice support in Kelenna, Holiday, and Frye. I just think that if Arenas has an off night for even one game, it exposes Williams more and I'm not sure you can consistently rely on those guys. Not that many PG can stop Arenas, but if you can hold him to <25 pts - the Nets probably don't win. Holiday would be your best option behind Arenas IMO. Then again, I haven't crunched the numbers so maybe your guys step up when your star goes down.

Update - Arenas <25 4-6
>25 18-8

Sonics: You're team has very good numbers, but right now nobody outscores/outrebounds better than the Knicks/Blazers and nobody controls the turnovers better than the Warriors/Cavs.

[nets]

Then again, how are the Knicks when Howard has an off night?

>25 points 19-8
<25 points 8-7

Fairly similar to my success with Arenas.

[cobrafitz]

Yep interesting info, though with more data at the end of the season it might show more of a trend. Played out over the course of a season, a 4-6 record equates to .400 winning percentage, while 8-7 equates to .533. If that plays out I'd say that is a huge difference.

[nets]

but you picked the 25 point limit so I don't know how much that made this comparison work out this way.

Anything can be done with stats. Maybe a comparison when each guy scored 22 would come out differently.

Doesn't matter, my real point was that most of these teams without their best player are not nearly the same. Even the Blazers and Bobcats struggled when their main guys were out.

[NBL President]

In the end, it comes down to matchups. I feel confident if a team comes in trying to a lot of their damage against me on the inside. Hibbert and Oden should be able to limit their numbers.

However, a team like New Jersey could have great success against me because Augustin at 5'11 is a weak defensive player, and Arenas may have 10-20% more production because of that.

[Thaaa BUCKS!]

Gah. CV came down with the Marcus Camby syndrome. $4.5m isn't enough to keep him happy.

[Detroit Pistons Sports Group]

wcscorer said:

Gah. CV came down with the Marcus Camby syndrome. $4.5m isn't enough to keep him happy.

Well reall 4.5 mil is hardly enough to buy more then one REALLY BIG HOUSE a yr.... Who can only live with 4.5 mil a yr now a days... lol jk.

[Thaaa BUCKS!]

Marcus Camby had severe depression one season =/

[NBL President]

4 of these for the season for 10